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US Fed chair warns of potential inflation and growth slowdown due to ongoing trade tensions with China

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Recent developments in the trade tensions between the US and China have led to a significant downturn in stock markets, with major indexes dropping 9%. This has been exacerbated by China's announcement of a 34% tariff on US goods, mirroring the rate imposed by the US on Chinese imports. As a result, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to maintain its current benchmark interest rate of 4.3%.

    1. There's a lot of waiting and seeing going on, including by us. And that just seems like the right thing to do in this period of uncertainty.
    2. It is now becoming clear that the tariff increases will be significantly larger than expected.
    3. The same is likely to be true of the economic effects, which will include higher inflation and slower growth.
    1. This would be a PERFECT time for Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to cut Interest Rates. CUT INTEREST RATES, JEROME, AND STOP PLAYING POLITICS!
    2. We put ourselves in the driver's seat. If we would have asked these countries to do us a favor, they would have said no. Now they will do anything for us.
    1. Given the U.S.'s threat to punish those who retaliate, we can anticipate that the U.S. may double its tariffs on China (to the full 67 percent level), in which case China would as well.
    1. The Fed is in a tough spot with inflation set to accelerate and the economy poised to slow.
    1. To state the obvious, the highest U.S. tariffs in more than 100 years, plus retaliation, will have the effect of slowing the economy around the world, and that is fundamentally a headwind for oil demand.