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NATO Leaders Gather Amid Uncertainty and Division

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NATO marks its 75th anniversary amidst political chaos and uncertainty. The upcoming summit is expected to be overshadowed by concerns over President Joe Biden's ability to secure a second term, potentially paving the way for Donald Trump's return as president. This uncertainty comes at a time when NATO is reinvigorated in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Meanwhile, European countries are grappling with their own issues related to far-right populism, particularly in France and Hungary. French President Emmanuel Macron will be absent from the summit on July 9, highlighting the degree to which Europeans within the alliance are weakened by internal divisions.

    1. The Biden administration has always been excessively cautious, which will now backfire on them and us. Every time we say 'no escalation', we send a signal to [Vladimir] Putin, who takes advantage of it to escalate.
    1. The Americans know very well the value of the NATO alliance.
    2. Everyone knows that anyone who messes with the Transatlantic bond puts their own geopolitical and strategic interests at risk.
    1. From the many conversations I have had with the American President, I know that he has prepared this summit very well and very precisely together with us.
    1. But it's also sort of the worst of times — obviously because of the war in Ukraine, challenges of ramping up European defense spending, concerns about the reliability of the United States.
    1. Who else do you think can step in here and do this? I expanded NATO. I solidified NATO. I made sure that we're in a position where we have a coalition of ... nations around the world to deal with China, with Russia, with everything that's going on in the world. We're making real progress.
    1. What's happening now that everyone is spending more, the fact that the Canadians aren't even trying has become obvious.
    2. Europeans are frustrated that they're being criticized and Canada is not feeling the same pressure from Washington.
    1. Not only is Europe concerned about the outcome of the US election and its potential effects on NATO, but also how that outcome might interact with political developments in Europe.
    2. The adjustments required in terms of budgets and planning and strategy and public acceptance are not going to be made overnight.
    3. Taken together, European allies have done perhaps roughly as much as the United States has done in terms of military support to Ukraine.