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  5. Iran's options limited after Hezbollah's weakened position following Hassan Nasrallah's death

Iran's options limited after Hezbollah's weakened position following Hassan Nasrallah's death

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Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and other officials have downplayed the significance of the death of Hassan Nasrallah, leader of Hezbollah, suggesting that he can be replaced. However, analysts argue that Iran's regional deterrence has been weakened. Iran has threatened retaliation, but its options are limited against a militarily superior enemy, and any action would likely be seen as futile revenge rather than a strategic threat.

  1. IR
    Abbas Araqchi
    Iranian Foreign Ministry
    1. We are on high alert, and countries in the region and beyond must recognize how critical the situation is. Anything can happen at any moment.
  2. IR
    Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
    Shia
    1. The Zionist criminals need to know that they are far too weak to be able to inflict any significant damage on the solid structure of Lebanon's Hezbollah.
  3. DE
    Gregg Carlstrom
    Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik
    1. He said they were strong and united. Then Israel decapitated the most powerful militia in a matter of weeks, while Iran sat idle.
  4. DE
    Vali Nasr
    Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik
    1. Just as it determined not to abandon its place in Syria when [President Bashar al-] Assad looked to be falling, similarly it will do all it can to keep its foothold in Lebanon.
    2. Iran's priority will not be revenge for Nasrallah's killing, but to preserve its place in Lebanon.
  5. DE
    Hamidreza Azizi
    Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik
    1. Without the member groups of the 'axis,' Tehran cannot wage war against Israel. And as Iran's stock of long-range missiles is not large enough, the regime is incapable of entering into a limitless war.
    2. Whether Iran decides to respond or not, Israel will go even further to weaken the 'axis of resistance' without being worried about the possible repercussions of its actions, as it has demonstrated recently. In either case, a direct confrontation between Israel and Iran seems possible.
    3. Today, Iran doesn't have any good option in this new reality.
  6. US
    Sanam Vakil
    Chatham House
    1. Should Hezbollah not respond to Nasrallah's death, its morale and legitimacy will be further weakened.

Israel-Iran Conflict

  1. Netanyahu Seeks US Support for Potential Strike on Iranian Nuclear Sites
  2. Ex-CIA Analyst Pleads Guilty to Leaking Documents on Israel's Iran Strike Plans
  3. Iran's Defensive Capabilities Paralyzed by Israeli Strikes

sources

  1. 1.The Washington Post
  2. 2.The Times
  3. 3.Le Monde

perspectives

  1. 1.US Foreign Policy
  2. 2.Israel-Palestine Conflict
  3. 3.British Foreign Policy
  4. 4.Israel Foreign Policy
  5. 5.Israel under Benjamin Netanyahu
  6. 6.2023 Hamas-led attack on Israel
  7. 7.Intercontinental Ballistic Missile
  8. 8.Iran Foreign Policy
  9. 9.Israel-Lebanese Hezbollah Conflict
  10. 10.Oil Market
  11. 11.Sunni/Shiites Dispute
  12. 12.Iranian politics

countries

  1. 1.United Arab EmiratesAE
  2. 2.ArgentinaAR
  3. 3.EgyptEG
  4. 4.FranceFR
  5. 5.United KingdomGB
  6. 6.IsraelIL
  7. 7.IraqIQ
  8. 8.Iran, Islamic Republic ofIR
  9. 9.LebanonLB
  10. 10.Palestine, State ofPS
  11. 11.Syrian Arab RepublicSY
  12. 12.United StatesUS

organizations

  1. 1.HezbollahLB
  2. 2.HamasPS
  3. 3.Shia
  4. 4.HouthiYE
  5. 5.Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik
  6. 6.al-Quds Brigades
  7. 7.Chatham HouseGB
  8. 8.Iranian Revolutionary GuardsIR
  9. 9.UN General Assembly

persons

  1. 1.Hassan NasrallahLB
  2. 2.Ismail Haniyeh
  3. 3.Ayatollah Ali KhameneiIR
  4. 4.Benjamin NetanyahuIL
  5. 5.Hamidreza AziziDE
  6. 6.Masoud PezeshkianIR
  7. 7.Abbas AraqchiIR
  8. 8.Ahmad Vahidi
  9. 9.Ali LarijaniIR
  10. 10.Gamal Abdel Nasser
  11. 11.Gregg CarlstromDE
  12. 12.Sanam VakilUS

technicals

  1. 1.Judaism
  2. 2.Natanz Nuclear Site
  3. 3.1967 Six-Day War
  4. 4.pan-Arabism
  5. 5.Zionist
Iran's options limited after Hezbollah's weakened position following Hassan Nasrallah's death