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  5. IMF forecasts global slowdown, warns of rising risks to financial stability following Trump tariffs

IMF forecasts global slowdown, warns of rising risks to financial stability following Trump tariffs

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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its global economic growth projections downward, citing rising risks to the global economy. According to the IMF, the global economy is expected to grow by 2.8% in 2025, down from 3.0% in January. The decline in growth prospects is attributed to the ongoing trade tensions and the potential for a "sharp repricing of risk assets" as a result of the trade war between the US and the rest of the world. The IMF has also warned of the potential for a global financial crisis and has urged regulators to be on high alert. The growth prospect for the world economy is now the weakest since the COVID-19 pandemic.

  1. International Monetary Fund
    1. Global financial stability risks have increased significantly, driven by tighter global financial conditions and heightened economic uncertainty.
    2. Emerging market economies already facing the highest real financing costs in a decade may now need to refinance their debt and fund fiscal spending at higher costs.
  2. FR
    Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas
    International Monetary Fund
    1. If sustained, this abrupt increase in tariffs and attendant uncertainty will significantly slow global growth.
    2. Growth prospects could improve immediately if countries ease their current trade policy stance and implement clear and predictable trade rules.
    3. The risks to the global economy have increased and are firmly to the downside.
  3. GB
    Megan Greene
    Bank of England
    1. There's a tonne of uncertainty around this, but there are both inflationary and disinflationary forces.
    2. The tariffs represent more of a disinflationary risk than an inflationary risk.
  4. GB
    Mel Stride
    British Conservative Party
    1. The IMF has downgraded the UK's growth forecast, raising serious concerns about the lack of confidence and direction under Labour. They have also revised up significantly their forecast for inflation.

World's Economy

  1. Wealth of world's billionaires grows by $2tn in 2024, report highlights massive wealth disparity
  2. Global economic growth leaves poorest nations behind, World Bank warns of serious headwinds

sources

  1. 1.Le Monde
  2. 2.The Guardian
  3. 3.El Paìs
  4. 4.France 24
  5. 5.Al Jazeera
  6. 6.BBC
  7. 7.Agence France-Presse
  8. 8.Bloomberg News

perspectives

  1. 1.US Economy
  2. 2.Inflation
  3. 3.Trade Agreement
  4. 4.World Economy
  5. 5.Climate Change
  6. 6.Multilateralism
  7. 7.Artificial Intelligence
  8. 8.Protectionism
  9. 9.German Economy
  10. 10.Central Bank
  11. 11.Banking industry
  12. 12.Real estate

countries

  1. 1.AustraliaAU
  2. 2.BrazilBR
  3. 3.CanadaCA
  4. 4.ChinaCN
  5. 5.GermanyDE
  6. 6.SpainES
  7. 7.FranceFR
  8. 8.United KingdomGB
  9. 9.IndonesiaID
  10. 10.IndiaIN
  11. 11.ItalyIT
  12. 12.JapanJP

organizations

  1. 1.International Monetary Fund
  2. 2.Federal Reserve SystemUS
  3. 3.Goldman SachsUS
  4. 4.JPMorgan Chase
  5. 5.KPMG
  6. 6.Labour Party
  7. 7.World Bank
  8. 8.Bank of England
  9. 9.Conservative Party
  10. 10.European Union
  11. 11.Global Financial Stability Review
  12. 12.Institute of International Finance

persons

  1. 1.Donald TrumpUS
  2. 2.Pierre-Olivier GourinchasFR
  3. 3.Kathy JonesUS
  4. 4.Rachel ReevesGB
  5. 5.Jerome PowellUS
  6. 6.Kristalina GeorgievaBG
  7. 7.Megan GreeneGB
  8. 8.Mel StrideGB

technicals

  1. 1.Eurozone
  2. 2.Basel 3
  3. 3.Caribbean Sea
  4. 4.Great Depression
  5. 5.Covid-19 Pandemic
  6. 6.Global Financial Stability Report
  7. 7.White House Rose Garden
  8. 8.World War II
IMF forecasts global slowdown, warns of rising risks to financial stability following Trump tariffs