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- Climate change linked to increased likelihood of recent European floods, study finds
Climate change linked to increased likelihood of recent European floods, study finds
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A recent storm, known as Storm Boris, caused significant damage and loss of life in central Europe. The storm resulted in at least 24 deaths and billions of dollars in damage. Research suggests that climate change has increased the likelihood of heavy rainfall events, with some studies suggesting a doubling of the likelihood. The storm dropped 7 to 20 percent more rain than a similar event would have in a pre-industrial world, with one four-day period the rainiest ever recorded in central Europe. While the storm was well predicted, allowing some regions to prepare and potentially avoid more deaths, the impact of climate change on extreme weather events is a growing concern.
The rain has stopped and in many regions, the water levels are receding.
There has been a lot of money spent after the previous two floods to [install and update] the flood defences.
It shows just how expensive climate change is.
This is definitely what we will see much more of in the future.
Yet again, these floods highlight the devastating results of fossil fuel-driven warming.
Until oil, gas and coal are replaced with renewable energy, storms like Boris will unleash even heavier rainfall, driving economy-crippling floods.
These weather patterns occurred in a warmer climate because of our greenhouse gas emissions, [so] the intensity and volume of rainfall was larger than it would have otherwise been.
The intensity of rainfall and these weather events will only get worse.
Our simulations show that if you are able to keep future global warming below 1.5C, which is one of the targets of the Paris agreement, then future flood damage will be cut by half compared to the [business as usual] scenario.
Storm Boris
- Storm Boris causes widespread flooding and evacuations in northern Italy
- Flooding in Central Europe leaves 16 dead in Romania, Poland, Czech Republic and Austria
- At least 7 dead as heaviest rainfall in decades hits parts of Central and Eastern Europe
sources
- 1.DW News
- 2.The New York Times
- 3.BBC
- 4.Reuters
- 5.Times
perspectives
countries
organizations
- 1.World Weather Attribution
- 2.Imperial College London
- 3.Global Change Research Institute
- 4.IUSS
- 5.University of Reading
- 6.US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
persons
- 1.Austyn Gaffney
- 2.Donald Tusk
- 3.Francesco Dottori
- 4.Friederike Otto
- 5.Johanna Mikl-Leitner
- 6.Joyce Kimutai
- 7.Mirek Trnka
- 8.Petr Fiala
- 9.Richard Allan